Department of Statistics Technical Reports
1999
- 705
On the Calibration of Bayesian Model Choice Criteria
Pantelis K. Vlachos and Alan E. Gelfand 11/99
- 704
How Incoherent is Fixed-Level Testing?
Mark J. Schervish, Teddy Seidenfeld and Joseph B. Kadane 10/99
- 703
How Sets of Coherent Probabilities May Serve as Models for
Degrees of Incoherence
Mark J. Schervish, Teddy Seidenfeld and Joseph B. Kadane 10/99
- 702
A Generalized Predictive Criterion for Model Selection
Mario Trottini and Fulvio Spezzaferri 10/99
- 701
A Note on Bayesian Design for the Normal Linear Model with
Unknown Error Variance
Isabella Verdinelli 10/99
- 700
Characterization of Arsenic Occurrence in US Drinking Water
Treatment Facility Source Waters
J.R. Lockwood III, Mark J. Schervish, Patrick Gurian and Mitchell J. Small 9/99
- 699
The Foundations of Statistics: A Vignette
James Robins and Larry Wasserman 8/99
- 698
The History of the First American Census and the Constitutional
Language on Censustaking: Report of a Workshop
Margo Anderson and Stephen E. Fienberg 7/99
- 697
Sampling and Census 2000 -- Methodological Issues: Report to the
Donner Foundation
Beth Osborne Daponte, Stephen E. Fienberg, Joseph B. Kadane and Duane
L. Steffey 7/99
- 696
Learning Text from the Web: An Application of Classification Methods
Stella M. Salvatierra 6/99
- 695
Applying Non-parmetric Robust Bayesian Analysis to Non-Opinionated
Judicial Neutrality
Joseph B. Kadane, Elias Moreno, Maria Eglee Perez and Luis Raul Pericchi 4/99
- 694
Double Importance Sampling
Valerie Ventura 4/99
- 693 Non-Conjugate Bayesian
Analysis of Variance Component Models Russell D. Wolfinger and
Robert E. Kass 3/99
- 692
Spatial Frames of Reference in Hemispatial Neglect Patients
Ilaria Di Matteo 2/99
- 691 Frechet and Bonferroni Bounds for Multi-way Tables of
Counts With Applications to Disclosure Limitation Stephen E. Fienberg 2/99
- 690 Measuring Appropriability in Research and Development with Item Response Models Matthew Johnson, Wesley Cohen and Brian Junker 2/99
- 689 Applying Cognitive Theory to Statistics Instruction Marsha C. Lovett and Joel B. Greenhouse 2/99
- 688 Classical Multi-level and Bayesian Approaches to Population Size Estimation Using Multiple Lists Stephen E. Fienberg, Matthew S. Johnson and Brian W. Junker 2/99
1998
- 687 Empirical Likelihood for Autoregressive Models, with Applications to Unstable Time Series Chin-Shan Chuang and Ngai Hang Chan 12/98
- 686 Bayesian Time Series Modelling with Long-Range Dependence Giovanni Petris and Mike West 11/98
- 685 Rates of Convergence for the Gaussian Mixture Sieve Chris Genovese and Larry Wasserman 11/98
- 684 A SAS Procedure Based on Mixture Models for Estimating Developmental Trajectories Bobby L. Jones, Daniel S. Nagin and Kathryn Roeder 10/98
- 683 Modeling Uncertainty in Latent Class Membership: a Case Study in Criminology Kathryn Roeder, Kevin G. Lynch and Daniel S. Nagin, 8/98
- 682 Yule's Association Paradox and Ignored Stratum Heterogeneity in
Capture-Recapture Studies Joseph B. Kadane, Michael M. Meyer and John W. Tukey, 7/98
- 681 Simulating from Mixture Distributions Giovanni Petris and Luca Tardella, 7/98(revised 8/98)
- 680 Reference Bayesian
Methods for Generalized Linear Mixed Models Ranjini
Natarajan and Robert E. Kass, 7/98 (revised 8/99)
- 679 Statistical Inference for a Computational Model of Cognition Randy Bruno, James McClelland and Larry Wasserman, 6/98
- 678 Rates of Convergence of Posterior Distributions Xiaotong Shen and Larry Wasserman, 6/98 (revised 8/98)
- 677 Asymptotic Inference for Mixture Models Using Data Dependent Priors Larry Wasserman, 6/98
- 676 Consistency of Posterior Distributions for Neural Networks Herbert Lee, 5/98
- 675 P's in a Pod: some recipes for cooking Mendel's data Teddy Seidenfeld, 5/98
- 674 Statistical Inference in Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging Christoper Genovese, 12/97
- 673 Nonparametric Bootstrap Recycling Valerie Ventura, 4/98
- 672 Asymptotic Properties of Nonparametric Bayesian Procedures Larry Wasserman, 2/98
- 671 Bayesian Model Selection: Analysis of a Survival Model with a Surviving Fraction Howard Seltman, Joel Greenhouse, and Larry Wasserman, 1/98
1997
- 670 Applications and extensions of MCMC in IRT: Multiple item types, missing data, and rated responses Richard J. Patz and Brian W. Junker, 12/97
- 669 Bayes Factors for Variance
Component Models Donna K. Pauler, Jonathan C. Wakefield, and
Robert E. Kass, 11/97
- 668 Confidentiality and Disclosure Limitation Methodology:
Challenges for National Statistics and Statistical Research
Stephen E. Fienberg, 10/97
- 667 Methods for Default and Robust Bayesian Model Comparison: the Fractional Bayes Factor Approach
F. De Santis and F. Spezzaferri, 10/97
- 666 Bayesian Model Selection and Model Averaging
L. Wasserman, 10/97
- 665 Time Series Analysis of Diurnal Cycles in Small-Scale Turbulence
N.H. Chan, J.B. Kadane and T. Jiang, 10/97
- 664 Hierarchical Models for Employment Decisions
Joseph B. Kadane and George G. Woodworth, 10/97 (revised 8/98)
- 663 A Note on First-Stage Approximation
In Two-Stage Hierarchical Models
Michael J. Daniels and Robert E. Kass, 9/97
- 662 Measuring Heterogeneity in
Forensic Databases Using Hierarchical Bayes Models: Computational Method
Kathryn Roeder, Michael Escobar, Joseph B. Kadane and Ivan
Balazs, 8/97
- 661 Latent and manifest
monotonicity in item response models
Brian W. Junker and Klaas Sijtsma, 8/97
- 660 Two Measures of Incoherence:
How Not to Gamble If You Must
Mark J. Schervish, Teddy Seidenfeld and Joseph B. Kadane, 7/97 (revised 7/98)
- 659 Nonconjugate Bayesian
estimation of covariance matrices and its use in hierarchical models
Michael J. Daniels and Robert E. Kass, 7/97 (Revised 11/98)
- 658 A straightforward approach to
Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods for item response models
Richard J. Patz and Brian W. Junker, 6/97
- 657 Book Review: Markov Chain
Monte Carlo in Practice, by Gilks, Richardson and Spiegelhalter
Reviewed by Robert E. Kass, 6/97
- 656 Variable Fusion: A New
Adaptive Signal Regression Method Stephanie R. Land and Jerome
H. Friedman, 5/97
- 655 Trends in the Surface Meridional Temperature Gradient Alix I. Gitelman, James S. Risbey, Robert
E. Kass, and Richard D. Rosen, 4/97
- 654 Estimation of Effects of
Sequential Treatments by Reparameterizing Directed Acyclic Graphs
James M. Robins and Larry Wasserman, 2/97
- 653 Markov Chain Monte Carlo in
Practice: A Roundtable Discussion.
Robert E. Kass, Bradley P. Carlin, Andrew Gelman and Radford M.
Neal, 2/97
- 652 Bayes Factors: What they are
and what they are not.
Michael Lavine and Mark J. Schervish, 1/97
- 651 The Consistency of Posterior
Distributions in Nonparametric Problems.
Andrew Barron, Mark J. Schervish and Larry Wasserman, 1/97
1996
- 650 Model Selection for Consumer
Loan Application Data.
Herbert Lee, 12/96
- 649 On the Impossibility of
Inferring Causation from Association without Background Knowledge.
James M. Robins and Larry Wasserman, 11/96
- 648 Flexible Parametric
Measurement Error Models.
Raymond J. Carroll, Kathryn Roeder and Larry Wasserman, 9/96
- 647 Bayesian Design for the
Normal Linear Model with Unknown Error Variance.
Isabella Verdinelli, 9/96
- 646 Inferences in Dynamic
Error-In-Variable-Measurement Problems.
Joao Albuquerque, Lorenz T. Bigler and Robert E. Kass, 7/96
- 645 Estimating Test-Retest
Reliability in fMRI I: Statistical Methodology.
Christopher R. Genovese, Douglas C. Noll and
William F. Eddy, 4/96
- 644 Analyzing Small Psychological
Experiments with Item Response Models.
Richard J. Patz, Brian W. Junker, F. Javier Lerch and
Brian R. Huguenard, 2/96
- 643 Some remarks on
Scheiblechner's treatment of ISOP models.
Brian W. Junker, 2/96
- 642 Bayesian Analysis of Variance
Component Models via Rejection Sampling
Russell D. Wolfinger and Robert E. Kass, 1/96
- 641 The Bayesian Approach to
Meta-Analysis: A Case-Study
I. Verdinelli, K. Andrews, K. Detre and P. Peduzzi, 1/96
- 640 Bayesian Goodness of Fit
Testing Using Infinite Dimensional Exponential Families
Isabella Verdinelli and Larry Wasserman, 1/96
1995
- 639 Evaluation of a Reconstruction
of the Adjusted 1990 Census for Florida
Michael M. Meyer and Joseph B. Kadane, 11/95
- 638 Measuring Heterogeneity in
Forensic Databases Using Hierarchical Bayes Models
Kathryn Roeder, Michael Escobar, Joseph B. Kadane and Ivan
Balazs, 10/95
- 637 Optimal Bayesian Randomization
Scott M. Berry and Joseph B. Kadane, 10/95
- 636 Hierarchical bayesian Analysis
of Arrest Rates
Jacqueline Cohen, Daniel Nagin, Garrick Wallstrom and Larry
Wasserman, 10/95
- 635 Adjusting the alpha-level for Sample Size
Scott M. Berry and Kert Viele, 9/95
- 634 The Schwarz Criterion and
Related Methods for Model Selection in Linear Regression
Donna K. Pauler, 9/95
- 633 Practical Bayesian Density
Estimation Using Mixtures of Normals
Kathryn Roeder and Larry Wasserman, 9/95
- 632 Ethics, Objectivity, and
Politics: Statistics in a Public Policy Context
Stephen E. Fienberg, 8/95
- 630 Computing Bayes Factors by
Combining Simulation and Asymptotic Approximations
Thomas J. DiCiccio, Robert E. Kass, Adrian Raftery and Larry
Wasserman, 7/95
- 629 An Analysis of Currency Options and Exchange Rate Distributions
Chris Andrews, 5/95
- 628 Expected Utility as a Policy
Making Tool: An Environmental
Health Example
Lara J. Wolfson, Joseph B. Kadane and Mitchell J. Small, 5/95
- 627 Priors for Unit Root Models
Joseph B. Kadane, Ngai Hang Chan and Lara J. Wolfson, 5/95
- 626 A Practical, Robust Method for
Bayesian Model Selection: A Case Study in the Analysis of Clinical Trials
Joel Greenhouse and Larry Wasserman, 5/95
- 625 Analysis of Arrest Rates
Subir Sinha, 5/95
- 623 A Reference Bayesian Test for
Nested Hypotheses And its Relationship to the Schwarz Criterion
Robert E. Kass and Larry Wasserman, 4/95
- 622 Non-Parametric Classes of
Weight Functions to Model Publication Bias
Nancy L. Paul, 4/95
- 621 Hierarchical Selection Models
with Applications in Meta-Analysis
Nancy L. Paul, 4/95
- 620 Symmetric, Coherent, Choquet Capacities
Joseph B. Kadane and Larry Wasserman, 4/95
- 619 Bayesian Demography: Projecting the Iraqi Kurdish Population, 1977-1990
Beth Osborne Daponte, Joseph B. Kadane, and
Lara J. Wolfson, 4/95
- 618 Wringing the Bell Curve: A
Cautionary Tale about the Relationships Among Race, Genes and IQ
Bernie Devlin, Stephen E. Fienberg, Daniel P. Resnick and
Kathryn Roeder, 4/95
- 617 Reconsidering the Fundamental
Contributions of Fisher and Neyman on Experimentation and Sampling
Stephen E. Fienberg and Judith M. Tanur, 4/95
- 616 An Algorithm for Isotonic
Regression on Ordered Rectangular Grids
Shixian Qian and William F. Eddy, 3/95
- 615 Estimation of Tropical Sea
Level Anomaly by an Improved Kalman Filter
Ngai Hang Chan, Joseph B. Kadane, Robert N. Miller and
Wilfredo Palma, 2/95
- 614 A Characterization of Monotone
Unidimensional Latent Variable Models
Brian W. Junker and Jules L. Ellis
, 2/95(revised 3/96)
- 613 Applying Statistical Concepts
and Approaches in Academic Administration
Stephen E. Fienberg, 1/95
- 612 Dynamic Visualization in Modelling and Optimization of
Ill Defined Problems: Case Studies and Generalizations
William F. Eddy and Audris Mockus, 1/95
1994
- 611 A Radical Proposal for the Provision
of Micro-Data Samples and
the Preservation of Confidentiality
Stephen E. Fienberg, 12/94
- 610 Reconsidering Neyman on Experimentation and Sampling:
Controversies and Fundamental Contributions
Stephen E. Fienberg and Judith M. Tanur, 12/94
- 609 The Relationship between Form
and Function in the Speech of Specifically Language Impaired Children
Kert Viele, 11/94
- 608 A Bayesian Approach to Data Disclosure: Optimal Intruder Behavior for Continuous Data
Stephen E. Fienberg, Udi E. Makov and Ashish P. Sanil, 11/94
- 607 Black, White, and Shades of Grey
(and Brown and Yellow)
Margo Anderson and Stephen E. Fienberg, 11/94
- 606 Stanley Warner's Contributions to
Statistically Balanced Information Technology
Stephen E. Fienberg and Nuri Jazairi, 11/94
- 605 Incorporating Retrials Into $L$-Symmetric Networks
Glen Takahara, 10/94
- 604 Discussion of Presentations on Statistical Disclosure Methodology
Stephen E. Fienberg, 9/94
- 603 A Coversation with Janet L. Norwood
Stephen E. Fienberg, 9/94
- 602 Bayesian Statistics and the Law
Stephen E. Fienberg and Michael Finkelstein, 9/94
- 601 An Interactive Image Index
William F. Eddy and Audris Mockus, 8/94
- 600 Postmortem Analysis of Neuron Distributions
in the Locus Coeruleus of Alcoholics and Suicidal Victims,
Donna K. Pauler, 8/94
- 599 Bayesian Experimental Design: A Review
Kathryn Chaloner and Isabella Verdinelli, 8/94
- 598 A Significance Paradox Mark J. Schervish, 7/94
- 597 A Survey of Theory and Methods of Invariant Item
Ordering Klaas Sijtsma and Brian W. Junker, 5/94
- 596 Local Sensitivity of Posterior Expectations
Paul A. Gustafson, 4/94
- 595 Convolutions of Bivariate Appell Polynomials
with Long-Range Dependence
Norma Terrin, 5/94
- 594 Statistical Decision Theory for Environmental Remediation
Lara J. Wolfson, Joseph B. Kadane and Mitchell J. Small, 5/94
- 593 Dynamic Graphical Presentation of
High Dimensional Data for Use in Process Control
William F. Eddy and Kensuke Shirakawa, 5/94
- 592 Approximate Single Linkage Cluster Analysis
of Large Data Sets in High Dimensional Spaces
William F. Eddy, Audris Mockus and Shingo Oue, 4/94
- 591 Dynamic Three-dimensional Display of
U.S. Air Traffic
William F. Eddy and Shingo Oue, 3/94
- 590 Mixture Models for Heterogeneity in Biomedical Disorders
Donna K. Pauler, Michael D. Escobar and John A. Sweeney, 3/94
- 589 Local Sensitivity Analysis
Paul Gustafson, C. Srinivasan and Larry Wasserman, 3/94
- 588 Robust Bayesian Methods for Monitoring Clinical Trials
Joel B. Greenhouse and Larry Wasserman, 2/94
- 587 Characterization of the Almost Agreeing
Probabilities for the Kraft-Pratt-Seidenberg Structures
Petros Hadjicostas, 1/94
- 586 Subregion Adaptive Integration of
Functions Having a Dominant Peak
Alan Genz and Robert E. Kass, 1/94
1993
- 585 Divisive Conditioning: Further Results on Dilation
Timothy Herron, Teddy Seidenfeld and Larry Wasserman, 12/93
- 584 Inference for Unstable Long-Memory Processes
with Applications to Fractional Unit Root Autoregressions
Ngai Hang Chan and Norma Terrin, 12/93
- 583 Formal Rules for Selecting Prior Distributions:
A Review and Annotated Bibliography
Robert E. Kass and Larry Wasserman, 12/93
- 582 Statistical Models for the Analysis of Ordered
Categorical Data in Public Health and Medical Research
Ruth D. Etzioni, Stephen E. Fienberg, Zvi Gilula and Shelby J. Haberman, 11/93
- 581 Designing Census Sampling for Reapportionment
Joseph B. Kadane, 12/93
- 580 Reasoning to a Foregone Conclusion
Joseph B. Kadane, Mark J. Schervish and Teddy Seidenfeld, 11/93
- 579 The Local Sensitivity of Posterior Expectations
Paul Gustafson, 11/93
- 578 An Asymptotic Analysis of the Number of
Comparisons in Multipartition Quicksort
Kok Hooi Tan, 8/93
- 577 Conflicts Between the Needs for
Access to Statistical Information
Stephen E. Fienberg, 8/93
- 576 A Bayesian Analysis of Bivariate Survival
Data from a Multicentre Cancer Clinical Trial
Paul Gustafson, 10/93
- 575 Optimal Use of Peremptory Challenges Reconsidered
Joseph B. Kadane, Christopher Stone and Garrick Wallstrom, 7/93
- 574 Local Sensitivity Diagnostics for Bayesian
Inference
Paul Gustafson and Larry Wasserman, 7/93
- 573 A Note on Generalizing the Savage-Dickey
Density Ratio
Isabella Verdinelli and Larry Wasserman, 6/93
- 572 Time Series Analysis of Diurnal Cycles in
Small-Scale Turbulence
N.H. Chan, J.B. Kadane and T. Jiang, 6/93
- 571 Bayes Factors and Model Uncertainty (Revised 12/93)
Robert E. Kass and Adrian E. Raftery, 3/93
- 570 Bayes Factors, Nuisance Parameters and Imprecise Tests
Isabella Verdinelli and Larry Wasserman, 3/93
- 569 Hierarchical priors and mixture models,
with application in regression and density estimation
Mike West, Peter Müller and Michael D. Escobar, 2/93
- 568 Density and Generating Functions of a Limiting
Distribution for Quicksort
Kok Hooi Tan and Petros Hadjicostas
1/93

