Adaptive Confidence Bands

Christopher Genovese and Larry Wasserman


We show that there do not exist adaptive confidence bands for curve estimation except under very restrictive assumptions. We propose instead to construct adaptive bands that cover a surrogate function $f^*$ which is close to, but simpler than, $f$. The surrogate captures the significant features in $f$. We establish lower bounds on the width for any confidence band for $f^*$ and construct a procedure that comes within a small constant factor of attaining the lower bound for finite-samples.

Heidi Sestrich 2007-01-30
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