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<channel>
	<title>Weak-ly Update</title>
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	<link>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh</link>
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	<lastBuildDate>Mon, 11 Apr 2011 14:52:54 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<item>
		<title>Continuation of JASA paper</title>
		<link>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=221</link>
		<comments>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=221#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Apr 2011 14:52:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Darren Warren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Weak-ly Updates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=221</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[After finishing and submitting JASA paper (May 7), write an extension that utilizes the asymptotic approximation of Hankle and Toeplitz matrices with circulant matrices. This would allow for an asymptotic equivalence type argument. Also, do kernel match + detection problem (June 15). Finish NIPS paper with Dan, (June 1).]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>After finishing and submitting JASA paper (May 7), write an extension that utilizes the asymptotic approximation of Hankle and Toeplitz matrices with circulant matrices.  This would allow for an asymptotic equivalence type argument.</p>
<p>Also, do kernel match + detection problem (June 15).</p>
<p>Finish NIPS paper with Dan, (June 1).</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?feed=rss2&amp;p=221</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Questions</title>
		<link>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=216</link>
		<comments>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=216#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Feb 2011 23:06:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Darren Warren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Weak-ly Updates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=216</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Algorithmic stability in IPs Chris: funding Lucky Imaging: projection estimator]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul>
<li>Algorithmic stability in IPs</li>
<li>Chris: funding</li>
<li>Lucky Imaging: projection estimator</li>
</ul>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?feed=rss2&amp;p=216</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Looming: COLT, Texas A&amp;M, and JSM</title>
		<link>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=214</link>
		<comments>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=214#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Jan 2011 21:58:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Darren Warren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Weak-ly Updates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=214</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Find minimax risk for sequential problem (asymptotic in n).  Adapt Belitzer and Levit. Bound ratio of risks of Beran&#8217;s estimators and Berteros (and lucky imaging). Read Chapter 10 of Cesa-Bianchi:  Online Inverse Problem? Convex optimization for monotone estimator Read minimax detection in inverse problems paper.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul>
<li>Find minimax risk for sequential problem (asymptotic in n).  Adapt Belitzer and Levit.</li>
<li>Bound ratio of risks of Beran&#8217;s estimators and Berteros (and lucky imaging).</li>
<li>Read Chapter 10 of Cesa-Bianchi:  Online Inverse Problem?</li>
<li>Convex optimization for monotone estimator</li>
<li>Read minimax detection in inverse problems paper.</li>
</ul>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>DS and inverse problems</title>
		<link>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=210</link>
		<comments>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=210#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Jan 2011 17:04:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Darren Warren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Weak-ly Updates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=210</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Suppose and let be a basis (frame?) for space to which belongs. Act this observation functional on , then we get a sequence space representation as where forms a non-independent, but nearly independent set if is sufficiently well behaved (think homogeneous, dilation invariant; or polynomial decay convolution). Ask James about his DS for correlated noise <a href='http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=210'>[...]</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Suppose <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=dY%28t%29%20%3D%20A%5Ctheta%28t%29dt%20%2B%20%5Cepsilon%20d%20W%28t%29%20&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='dY(t) = A\theta(t)dt + \epsilon d W(t) ' title='dY(t) = A\theta(t)dt + \epsilon d W(t) ' class='latex' /> and let <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%28%5Cpsi_i%29&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='(\psi_i)' title='(\psi_i)' class='latex' /> be a basis (frame?) for space to which <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Ctheta&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\theta' title='\theta' class='latex' /> belongs.<br />
Act this observation functional on <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cpsi_i&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\psi_i' title='\psi_i' class='latex' />, then we get a sequence space representation as <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=Y_i%20%3D%20x_i%20%2B%20%5Cepsilon%20%5Ckappa_i%5E%7B-1%7D%20W_i&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='Y_i = x_i + \epsilon \kappa_i^{-1} W_i' title='Y_i = x_i + \epsilon \kappa_i^{-1} W_i' class='latex' /> where <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%28W_i%29&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='(W_i)' title='(W_i)' class='latex' /> forms a non-independent, but nearly independent set if <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=A&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='A' title='A' class='latex' /> is sufficiently well behaved (think homogeneous, dilation invariant; or polynomial decay convolution).</p>
<ol>
<li>Ask James about his DS for correlated noise</li>
<li>We can apply this to WVD by the above formulation.</li>
<li>Fundamental Question:  Can we use the adaptive sampling framework to estimate $\latex \theta$ better?</li>
</ol>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?feed=rss2&amp;p=210</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Power: Lower Bound on Polynomial Convergence</title>
		<link>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=89</link>
		<comments>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=89#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Oct 2010 18:40:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Darren Warren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Weak-ly Updates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=89</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Introduction Suppose we are attempting to match two images, each with differing amounts of seeing and noise. One we call the reference image and it is obtained with no noise. The second is called the science image and it generally has more severe seeing and has noise. We wish to find some transformation that maps <a href='http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=89'>[...]</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>
<p><b> Introduction </b></p>
<p> Suppose we are attempting to match two images, each with differing amounts of seeing and noise. One we call the reference image <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%28R%29%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{(R)}' title='{(R)}' class='latex' /> and it is obtained with no noise. The second is called the science image <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%28S%29%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{(S)}' title='{(S)}' class='latex' /> and it generally has more severe seeing and has noise. We wish to find some transformation that maps <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7BR%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{R}' title='{R}' class='latex' /> to <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7BS%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{S}' title='{S}' class='latex' /> such that the difference is noise-like if there are no additional sources.</p>
<p>
In particular, we posit a sequence of operators <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%28K_%7B%5Clambda%7D%29_%7B%5Clambda%20%5Cin%20%5CLambda%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{(K_{\lambda})_{\lambda \in \Lambda}}' title='{(K_{\lambda})_{\lambda \in \Lambda}}' class='latex' /> and <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Csigma%20%3E%200%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\sigma &gt; 0}' title='{\sigma &gt; 0}' class='latex' /> such that there exists a <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7BK_%7B%5Clambda_0%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{K_{\lambda_0}}' title='{K_{\lambda_0}}' class='latex' /> where <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cmathbb%7BE%7D%5BS%5D%20%3D%20%5Cmathbb%7BE%7D%5BK_%7B%5Clambda_0%7DR%20%2B%20%5Csigma%20Z%5D%20%3D%20K_%7B%5Clambda_0%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\mathbb{E}[S] = \mathbb{E}[K_{\lambda_0}R + \sigma Z] = K_{\lambda_0}}' title='{\mathbb{E}[S] = \mathbb{E}[K_{\lambda_0}R + \sigma Z] = K_{\lambda_0}}' class='latex' />. Our goal is to choose <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Chat%5Clambda%20%5Cin%20%5CLambda%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\hat\lambda \in \Lambda}' title='{\hat\lambda \in \Lambda}' class='latex' /> based only on data.</p>
<p>
<p><b>1. Result </b></p>
<p> We propose a multiresolution noise-like statistic based on an idea in Davies and Kovak 1991, defined as:
<p align=center><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cdisplaystyle%20%20NL%28%5Clambda%2C%20%5Cmathcal%7BI%7D%29%20%3A%3D%20%5Csup_%7BI%20%5Cin%20%5Cmathcal%7BI%7D%7D%5Cfrac%7B1%7D%7B%5Csqrt%7B%7CI%7C%7D%7D%20%5Cleft%7C%20%5Csum_%7Bi%20%5Cin%20I%7D%20%28K_%5Clambda%20R%20-%20S%29_i%20%5Cright%7C%20&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\displaystyle  NL(\lambda, \mathcal{I}) := \sup_{I \in \mathcal{I}}\frac{1}{\sqrt{|I|}} \left| \sum_{i \in I} (K_\lambda R - S)_i \right| ' title='\displaystyle  NL(\lambda, \mathcal{I}) := \sup_{I \in \mathcal{I}}\frac{1}{\sqrt{|I|}} \left| \sum_{i \in I} (K_\lambda R - S)_i \right| ' class='latex' /></p>
<p> where <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cmathcal%7BI%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\mathcal{I}}' title='{\mathcal{I}}' class='latex' /> is a multiresolution analysis of the pixelized grid and <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Clambda%20%5Cin%20%5CLambda%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\lambda \in \Lambda}' title='{\lambda \in \Lambda}' class='latex' />. Note that we do not include the multiplicative factor <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cfrac%7B1%7D%7B%5Csqrt%7B%7CI%7C%7D%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\frac{1}{\sqrt{|I|}}}' title='{\frac{1}{\sqrt{|I|}}}' class='latex' /> whenever it is not explicitly needed.</p>
<p>
Observe that we can write this as <a name="eqaddSubKernel">
<p align=center><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cdisplaystyle%20%20NL%28%5Clambda%2C%20%5Cmathcal%7BI%7D%29%20%3A%3D%20NL%28%5Clambda%29%3D%20%5Csup_%7BI%20%5Cin%20%5Cmathcal%7BI%7D%7D%20%5Cleft%7C%20%5Csum_%7Bi%20%5Cin%20I%7D%20%28K_%5Clambda%20-%20K_%7B%5Clambda_0%7D%29R%20%2B%20%5Csigma%20Z_i%20%5Cright%7C%20%20%5C%20%5C%20%5C%20%5C%20%5C%20%281%29&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\displaystyle  NL(\lambda, \mathcal{I}) := NL(\lambda)= \sup_{I \in \mathcal{I}} \left| \sum_{i \in I} (K_\lambda - K_{\lambda_0})R + \sigma Z_i \right|  \ \ \ \ \ (1)' title='\displaystyle  NL(\lambda, \mathcal{I}) := NL(\lambda)= \sup_{I \in \mathcal{I}} \left| \sum_{i \in I} (K_\lambda - K_{\lambda_0})R + \sigma Z_i \right|  \ \ \ \ \ (1)' class='latex' /></p>
<p></a> by adding and subtracting <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7BK_%7B%5Clambda_0%7DR%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{K_{\lambda_0}R}' title='{K_{\lambda_0}R}' class='latex' />. Note that the summation of <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7Bi%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{i}' title='{i}' class='latex' /> is supressed in the first term for notational clarity. Also, when <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cmathcal%7BI%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\mathcal{I}}' title='{\mathcal{I}}' class='latex' /> is fixed, we supress that argument.</p>
<p>
Now, one quality this statistic could have would be to asymptotically distinguish between competing hypotheses. In this case, low-noise asymptotics makes more sense than large sample, so we choose this regime. </p>
<p>
Our goal is to look at the power of this statistic to determine amongst hypothesis asymptotically. It is known (Das Gupta 2008) that asymptotics for fixed alternative hypothesis leads to trivial results, such as power always tending toward 1.</p>
<p>
Hence, we wish to look at an analogy to the Pittman slope. This can be phrased as follows. Let <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Ctau%20%3E%200%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\tau &gt; 0}' title='{\tau &gt; 0}' class='latex' /> be given. Then we want to look at <a name="eqpowerOne">
<p align=center><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cdisplaystyle%20%20%5Clim_%7B%5Csigma%20%5Crightarrow%200%7D%20%5Cmathbb%7BP%7D%20%5Cleft%28%20%5Cfrac%7BNL%28%5Clambda_0%20%2B%20%5CDelta%20C_%7B%5Csigma%7D%29%7D%7BNL%28%5Clambda_0%29%7D%20%3E%20%5Ctau%20%5Cright%29%20%20%5C%20%5C%20%5C%20%5C%20%5C%20%282%29&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\displaystyle  \lim_{\sigma \rightarrow 0} \mathbb{P} \left( \frac{NL(\lambda_0 + \Delta C_{\sigma})}{NL(\lambda_0)} &gt; \tau \right)  \ \ \ \ \ (2)' title='\displaystyle  \lim_{\sigma \rightarrow 0} \mathbb{P} \left( \frac{NL(\lambda_0 + \Delta C_{\sigma})}{NL(\lambda_0)} &gt; \tau \right)  \ \ \ \ \ (2)' class='latex' /></p>
<p></a> where <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7BC%28%5Csigma%29%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{C(\sigma)}' title='{C(\sigma)}' class='latex' /> is a function going to zero with <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Csigma%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\sigma}' title='{\sigma}' class='latex' /> and <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5CDelta%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\Delta}' title='{\Delta}' class='latex' /> is a constant. We look at the ratio of the test under the alternate and null hypothesis as a way of rescaling. Alternatively, we can make <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Ctau%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\tau}' title='{\tau}' class='latex' /> a function of <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Csigma%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\sigma}' title='{\sigma}' class='latex' />. We see in what follows the ratio in effect chooses that function.</p>
<blockquote><p><b>Lemma 1</b> <em> We can rewrite (<a href="#eqpowerOne">2</a>) as
<p align=center><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cdisplaystyle%20%20%5Cbegin%7Barray%7D%7Brcl%7D%20%20%5Clim_%7B%5Csigma%20%5Crightarrow%200%7D%20%5Cmathbb%7BP%7D%20%5Cleft%28%20%5Cfrac%7BNL%28%5Clambda_0%20%2B%20%5CDelta%20C_%7B%5Csigma%7D%29%7D%7BNL%28%5Clambda_0%29%7D%20%3E%20%5Ctau%20%5Cright%29%20%26%20%3D%20%26%20%5Clim_%7B%5Csigma%20%5Crightarrow%200%7D%20%5Cmathbb%7BP%7D%20%5Cleft%28%20%5Cfrac%7B%20%5Csup_%7BI%20%5Cin%20%5Cmathcal%7BI%7D%7D%20%5Cleft%7C%20%5Csum_%7Bi%20%5Cin%20I%7D%20%28K_%7B%5Clambda_0%20%2B%20%5CDelta%20C%28%5Csigma%29%7D%20-%20K_%7B%5Clambda_0%7D%29R%20%2B%20%5Csigma%20Z_i%20%5Cright%7C%20%7D%20%7B%20%5Csup_%7BI%20%5Cin%20%5Cmathcal%7BI%7D%7D%20%5Cleft%7C%20%5Csum_%7Bi%20%5Cin%20I%7D%20Z_i%20%5Cright%7C%20%7D%20%3E%20%5Csigma%20%5Ctau%20%5Cright%29%20%5Cend%7Barray%7D%20&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\displaystyle  \begin{array}{rcl}  \lim_{\sigma \rightarrow 0} \mathbb{P} \left( \frac{NL(\lambda_0 + \Delta C_{\sigma})}{NL(\lambda_0)} &gt; \tau \right) &amp; = &amp; \lim_{\sigma \rightarrow 0} \mathbb{P} \left( \frac{ \sup_{I \in \mathcal{I}} \left| \sum_{i \in I} (K_{\lambda_0 + \Delta C(\sigma)} - K_{\lambda_0})R + \sigma Z_i \right| } { \sup_{I \in \mathcal{I}} \left| \sum_{i \in I} Z_i \right| } &gt; \sigma \tau \right) \end{array} ' title='\displaystyle  \begin{array}{rcl}  \lim_{\sigma \rightarrow 0} \mathbb{P} \left( \frac{NL(\lambda_0 + \Delta C_{\sigma})}{NL(\lambda_0)} &gt; \tau \right) &amp; = &amp; \lim_{\sigma \rightarrow 0} \mathbb{P} \left( \frac{ \sup_{I \in \mathcal{I}} \left| \sum_{i \in I} (K_{\lambda_0 + \Delta C(\sigma)} - K_{\lambda_0})R + \sigma Z_i \right| } { \sup_{I \in \mathcal{I}} \left| \sum_{i \in I} Z_i \right| } &gt; \sigma \tau \right) \end{array} ' class='latex' /></p>
<p> </em></p></blockquote>
<p> <em>Proof:</em>  Use (<a href="#eqaddSubKernel">1</a>) and multiply by <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Csigma%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\sigma}' title='{\sigma}' class='latex' />. <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5CBox&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\Box' title='\Box' class='latex' /></p>
<p>
This is a difficult seeming probability to calculate, even asymptotically. Hence we use the limit as a heuristic that the absence of <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Csigma%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\sigma}' title='{\sigma}' class='latex' /> in the denominator within the probability allows us to consider the following instead
<p align=center><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cdisplaystyle%20%20%5Clim_%7B%5Csigma%20%5Crightarrow%200%7D%20%5Cmathbb%7BP%7D%20%5Cleft%28%20%5Csup_%7BI%20%5Cin%20%5Cmathcal%7BI%7D%7D%20%5Cleft%7C%20%5Csum_%7Bi%20%5Cin%20I%7D%20%28K_%7B%5Clambda_0%20%2B%20%5CDelta%20C%28%5Csigma%29%7D%20-%20K_%7B%5Clambda_0%7D%29R%20%2B%20%5Csigma%20Z_i%20%5Cright%7C%20%3E%20%5Csigma%20%5Ctau%20%5Cright%29%20&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\displaystyle  \lim_{\sigma \rightarrow 0} \mathbb{P} \left( \sup_{I \in \mathcal{I}} \left| \sum_{i \in I} (K_{\lambda_0 + \Delta C(\sigma)} - K_{\lambda_0})R + \sigma Z_i \right| &gt; \sigma \tau \right) ' title='\displaystyle  \lim_{\sigma \rightarrow 0} \mathbb{P} \left( \sup_{I \in \mathcal{I}} \left| \sum_{i \in I} (K_{\lambda_0 + \Delta C(\sigma)} - K_{\lambda_0})R + \sigma Z_i \right| &gt; \sigma \tau \right) ' class='latex' /></p>
<p>
Before continuing, we need a result for exchanging <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Csup%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\sup}' title='{\sup}' class='latex' /> and <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cmathbb%7BP%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\mathbb{P}}' title='{\mathbb{P}}' class='latex' />:</p>
<blockquote><p><b>Lemma 2</b> <em> Let <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%28X_t%29_T%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{(X_t)_T}' title='{(X_t)_T}' class='latex' /> be a sequence of random variables over some index <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7BT%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{T}' title='{T}' class='latex' /> such that <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Csup_t%20X_t%20%3D%20X_%7Bt_%2A%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\sup_t X_t = X_{t_*}}' title='{\sup_t X_t = X_{t_*}}' class='latex' /> for some <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7Bt_%2A%20%5Cin%20T%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{t_* \in T}' title='{t_* \in T}' class='latex' />. Then for any <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Ctau%20%3E%200%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\tau &gt; 0}' title='{\tau &gt; 0}' class='latex' />
<p align=center><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cdisplaystyle%20%20%5Cmathbb%7BP%7D%20%28%20%5Csup_t%20X_t%20%3E%20%5Ctau%29%20%5Cgeq%20%5Csup_t%20%5Cmathbb%7BP%7D%28%20X_t%20%3E%20%5Ctau%29%20&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\displaystyle  \mathbb{P} ( \sup_t X_t &gt; \tau) \geq \sup_t \mathbb{P}( X_t &gt; \tau) ' title='\displaystyle  \mathbb{P} ( \sup_t X_t &gt; \tau) \geq \sup_t \mathbb{P}( X_t &gt; \tau) ' class='latex' /></p>
<p> </em></p></blockquote>
<p> <em>Proof:</em>  Write <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cmathbb%7BP%7D%20%28%20%5Csup_t%20X_t%20%3E%20%5Ctau%29%20%3D%20%5Cmathbb%7BE%7D%20%5Cmathbf%7B1%7D%28%5Csup_t%20X_t%20%3E%20%5Ctau%29%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\mathbb{P} ( \sup_t X_t &gt; \tau) = \mathbb{E} \mathbf{1}(\sup_t X_t &gt; \tau)}' title='{\mathbb{P} ( \sup_t X_t &gt; \tau) = \mathbb{E} \mathbf{1}(\sup_t X_t &gt; \tau)}' class='latex' />. Now, since <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cmathbf%7B1%7D%28%5Csup_t%20X_t%20%3E%20%5Ctau%29%20%3D%20%5Csup_t%20%5Cmathbf%7B1%7D%28X_t%20%3E%20%5Ctau%29%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\mathbf{1}(\sup_t X_t &gt; \tau) = \sup_t \mathbf{1}(X_t &gt; \tau)}' title='{\mathbf{1}(\sup_t X_t &gt; \tau) = \sup_t \mathbf{1}(X_t &gt; \tau)}' class='latex' />, we see that
<p align=center><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cdisplaystyle%20%20%5Cmathbb%7BP%7D%20%28%20%5Csup_t%20X_t%20%3E%20%5Ctau%29%20%3D%20%5Cmathbb%7BE%7D%20%5Csup_t%20%5Cmathbf%7B1%7D%28%20X_t%20%3E%20%5Ctau%29%20%5Cgeq%20%5Csup_t%20%5Cmathbb%7BE%7D%20%5Cmathbf%7B1%7D%28%20X_t%20%3E%20%5Ctau%29%20&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\displaystyle  \mathbb{P} ( \sup_t X_t &gt; \tau) = \mathbb{E} \sup_t \mathbf{1}( X_t &gt; \tau) \geq \sup_t \mathbb{E} \mathbf{1}( X_t &gt; \tau) ' title='\displaystyle  \mathbb{P} ( \sup_t X_t &gt; \tau) = \mathbb{E} \sup_t \mathbf{1}( X_t &gt; \tau) \geq \sup_t \mathbb{E} \mathbf{1}( X_t &gt; \tau) ' class='latex' /></p>
<p> where for the last inequality we use that <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Csup_t%20%5Cint%20f_t%20%5Cleq%20%5Cint%20%5Csup_t%20f_t%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\sup_t \int f_t \leq \int \sup_t f_t}' title='{\sup_t \int f_t \leq \int \sup_t f_t}' class='latex' /> for the necessary kinds of sequences of functions and measures. <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5CBox&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\Box' title='\Box' class='latex' /></p>
<p>
Using Lemma 2, we can write <a name="eqpowerTwo">
<p align=center><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cdisplaystyle%20%20%5Cmathbb%7BP%7D%20%5Cleft%28%20%5Csup_%7BI%20%5Cin%20%5Cmathcal%7BI%7D%7D%20%5Cleft%7C%20%5Csum_%7Bi%20%5Cin%20I%7D%20%28K_%7B%5Clambda_0%20%2B%20%5CDelta%20C%28%5Csigma%29%7D%20-%20K_%7B%5Clambda_0%7D%29R%20%2B%20%5Csigma%20Z_i%20%5Cright%7C%20%3E%20%5Csigma%20%5Ctau%20%5Cright%29%20%5Cgeq%20%5Csup_%7BI%20%5Cin%20%5Cmathcal%7BI%7D%7D%20%5Cmathbb%7BP%7D%20%5Cleft%28%20%5Cleft%7C%20%5Csum_%7Bi%20%5Cin%20I%7D%20%28K_%7B%5Clambda_0%20%2B%20%5CDelta%20C%28%5Csigma%29%7D%20-%20K_%7B%5Clambda_0%7D%29R%20%2B%20%5Csigma%20Z_i%20%5Cright%7C%20%3E%20%5Csigma%20%5Ctau%20%5Cright%29.%20%20%5C%20%5C%20%5C%20%5C%20%5C%20%283%29&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\displaystyle  \mathbb{P} \left( \sup_{I \in \mathcal{I}} \left| \sum_{i \in I} (K_{\lambda_0 + \Delta C(\sigma)} - K_{\lambda_0})R + \sigma Z_i \right| &gt; \sigma \tau \right) \geq \sup_{I \in \mathcal{I}} \mathbb{P} \left( \left| \sum_{i \in I} (K_{\lambda_0 + \Delta C(\sigma)} - K_{\lambda_0})R + \sigma Z_i \right| &gt; \sigma \tau \right).  \ \ \ \ \ (3)' title='\displaystyle  \mathbb{P} \left( \sup_{I \in \mathcal{I}} \left| \sum_{i \in I} (K_{\lambda_0 + \Delta C(\sigma)} - K_{\lambda_0})R + \sigma Z_i \right| &gt; \sigma \tau \right) \geq \sup_{I \in \mathcal{I}} \mathbb{P} \left( \left| \sum_{i \in I} (K_{\lambda_0 + \Delta C(\sigma)} - K_{\lambda_0})R + \sigma Z_i \right| &gt; \sigma \tau \right).  \ \ \ \ \ (3)' class='latex' /></p>
<p></a></p>
<p>
Now, we would like to examine the <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7BC%28%5Csigma%29%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{C(\sigma)}' title='{C(\sigma)}' class='latex' /> such that the RHS of (<a href="#eqpowerTwo">3</a>) <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cstackrel%7B%5Csigma%20%5Crightarrow%200%7D%7B%5Crightarrow%7D%201%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\stackrel{\sigma \rightarrow 0}{\rightarrow} 1}' title='{\stackrel{\sigma \rightarrow 0}{\rightarrow} 1}' class='latex' />. First, we can compute the RHS of (<a href="#eqpowerTwo">3</a>) as follows. Define <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cmu_%7BI%2C%5Csigma%7D%20%3A%3D%20%5Csum_%7Bi%20%5Cin%20I%7D%28K_%7B%5Clambda_0%20%2B%20%5CDelta%20C%28%5Csigma%29%7D%20-%20K_%7B%5Clambda_0%7D%29R%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\mu_{I,\sigma} := \sum_{i \in I}(K_{\lambda_0 + \Delta C(\sigma)} - K_{\lambda_0})R}' title='{\mu_{I,\sigma} := \sum_{i \in I}(K_{\lambda_0 + \Delta C(\sigma)} - K_{\lambda_0})R}' class='latex' />. Then <a name="eqpowerThree">
<p align=center><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cdisplaystyle%20%20%5Cmathbb%7BP%7D%20%5Cleft%28%20%5Cleft%7C%20%5Csum_%7Bi%20%5Cin%20I%7D%20%28K_%7B%5Clambda_0%20%2B%20%5CDelta%20C%28%5Csigma%29%7D%20-%20K_%7B%5Clambda_0%7D%29R%20%2B%20%5Csigma%20Z_i%20%5Cright%7C%20%3E%20%5Csigma%20%5Ctau%20%5Cright%29%20%3D%201%20%2B%20%5CPhi%5Cleft%28%20-%5Csqrt%7B%7CI%7C%7D%5Cleft%28%20%5Ctau%20%2B%20%5Cfrac%7B%5Cmu_%7BI%2C%5Csigma%7D%7D%7B%5Csigma%7D%20%5Cright%29%20%5Cright%29%20-%20%5CPhi%5Cleft%28%20%5Csqrt%7B%7CI%7C%7D%5Cleft%28%20%5Ctau%20-%20%5Cfrac%7B%5Cmu_%7BI%2C%5Csigma%7D%7D%7B%5Csigma%7D%20%5Cright%29%20%5Cright%29%20%20%5C%20%5C%20%5C%20%5C%20%5C%20%284%29&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\displaystyle  \mathbb{P} \left( \left| \sum_{i \in I} (K_{\lambda_0 + \Delta C(\sigma)} - K_{\lambda_0})R + \sigma Z_i \right| &gt; \sigma \tau \right) = 1 + \Phi\left( -\sqrt{|I|}\left( \tau + \frac{\mu_{I,\sigma}}{\sigma} \right) \right) - \Phi\left( \sqrt{|I|}\left( \tau - \frac{\mu_{I,\sigma}}{\sigma} \right) \right)  \ \ \ \ \ (4)' title='\displaystyle  \mathbb{P} \left( \left| \sum_{i \in I} (K_{\lambda_0 + \Delta C(\sigma)} - K_{\lambda_0})R + \sigma Z_i \right| &gt; \sigma \tau \right) = 1 + \Phi\left( -\sqrt{|I|}\left( \tau + \frac{\mu_{I,\sigma}}{\sigma} \right) \right) - \Phi\left( \sqrt{|I|}\left( \tau - \frac{\mu_{I,\sigma}}{\sigma} \right) \right)  \ \ \ \ \ (4)' class='latex' /></p>
<p></a> by noticing that the sum inside the absolute value is a <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7BN%5Cleft%28%5Cmu_%7BI%2C%5Csigma%7D%2C%5Cfrac%7B%5Csigma%5E2%7D%7B%7CI%7C%7D%5Cright%29%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{N\left(\mu_{I,\sigma},\frac{\sigma^2}{|I|}\right)}' title='{N\left(\mu_{I,\sigma},\frac{\sigma^2}{|I|}\right)}' class='latex' /> random variable. </p>
<p>
Using that <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Climinf_m%20%5Csup_n%20x_%7Bm%2Cn%7D%20%5Cgeq%20%5Csup_n%20%5Climinf_m%20x_%7Bm%2Cn%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\liminf_m \sup_n x_{m,n} \geq \sup_n \liminf_m x_{m,n}}' title='{\liminf_m \sup_n x_{m,n} \geq \sup_n \liminf_m x_{m,n}}' class='latex' /> for any doubly indexed sequence <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7Bx_%7Bm%2Cn%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{x_{m,n}}' title='{x_{m,n}}' class='latex' /> we see that under (<a href="#eqpowerTwo">3</a>) and (<a href="#eqpowerThree">4</a>)</p>
<p><p align=center><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cdisplaystyle%20%20%5Cbegin%7Barray%7D%7Brcl%7D%20%20%5Clim_%7B%5Csigma%20%5Crightarrow%200%7D%20%5Cmathbb%7BP%7D%20%5Cleft%28%20%5Csup_%7BI%20%5Cin%20%5Cmathcal%7BI%7D%7D%20%5Cleft%7C%20%5Csum_%7Bi%20%5Cin%20I%7D%20%28K_%7B%5Clambda_0%20%2B%20%5CDelta%20C%28%5Csigma%29%7D%20-%20K_%7B%5Clambda_0%7D%29R%20%2B%20%5Csigma%20Z_i%20%5Cright%7C%20%3E%20%5Csigma%20%5Ctau%20%5Cright%29%20%26%20%5Cgeq%20%26%20%5Csup_%7BI%20%5Cin%20%5Cmathcal%7BI%7D%7D%20%5Clim_%7B%5Csigma%20%5Crightarrow%200%7D%20%5Cbigg%5B%201%20%2B%20%5CPhi%5Cleft%28%20-%5Csqrt%7B%7CI%7C%7D%5Cleft%28%20%5Ctau%20%2B%20%5Cfrac%7B%5Cmu_%7BI%2C%5Csigma%7D%7D%7B%5Csigma%7D%20%5Cright%29%20%5Cright%29-%20%5C%5C%20%26%26%20%5CPhi%5Cleft%28%20%5Csqrt%7B%7CI%7C%7D%5Cleft%28%20%5Ctau%20-%20%5Cfrac%7B%5Cmu_%7BI%2C%5Csigma%7D%7D%7B%5Csigma%7D%20%5Cright%29%20%5Cright%29%5Cbigg%5D.%20%5Cend%7Barray%7D%20&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\displaystyle  \begin{array}{rcl}  \lim_{\sigma \rightarrow 0} \mathbb{P} \left( \sup_{I \in \mathcal{I}} \left| \sum_{i \in I} (K_{\lambda_0 + \Delta C(\sigma)} - K_{\lambda_0})R + \sigma Z_i \right| &gt; \sigma \tau \right) &amp; \geq &amp; \sup_{I \in \mathcal{I}} \lim_{\sigma \rightarrow 0} \bigg[ 1 + \Phi\left( -\sqrt{|I|}\left( \tau + \frac{\mu_{I,\sigma}}{\sigma} \right) \right)- \\ &amp;&amp; \Phi\left( \sqrt{|I|}\left( \tau - \frac{\mu_{I,\sigma}}{\sigma} \right) \right)\bigg]. \end{array} ' title='\displaystyle  \begin{array}{rcl}  \lim_{\sigma \rightarrow 0} \mathbb{P} \left( \sup_{I \in \mathcal{I}} \left| \sum_{i \in I} (K_{\lambda_0 + \Delta C(\sigma)} - K_{\lambda_0})R + \sigma Z_i \right| &gt; \sigma \tau \right) &amp; \geq &amp; \sup_{I \in \mathcal{I}} \lim_{\sigma \rightarrow 0} \bigg[ 1 + \Phi\left( -\sqrt{|I|}\left( \tau + \frac{\mu_{I,\sigma}}{\sigma} \right) \right)- \\ &amp;&amp; \Phi\left( \sqrt{|I|}\left( \tau - \frac{\mu_{I,\sigma}}{\sigma} \right) \right)\bigg]. \end{array} ' class='latex' /></p>
<p>
Now, we see that this probability goes to 1 when <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cmu_%7BI%2C%5Csigma%7D%2F%5Csigma%20%5Crightarrow%20%5Cinfty%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\mu_{I,\sigma}/\sigma \rightarrow \infty}' title='{\mu_{I,\sigma}/\sigma \rightarrow \infty}' class='latex' />. We did this calculation for the case where <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7BK_%7B%5Clambda%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{K_{\lambda}}' title='{K_{\lambda}}' class='latex' /> has for a kernel a non-normalized Gaussian kernel with variance <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Clambda%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\lambda}' title='{\lambda}' class='latex' /> for all <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Clambda%20%5Cin%20%5CLambda%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\lambda \in \Lambda}' title='{\lambda \in \Lambda}' class='latex' />. </p>
<p>
The result was that
<p align=center><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cdisplaystyle%20%20%5Cfrac%7B%5Cmu_%7BI%2C%5Csigma%7D%7D%7B%5Csigma%7D%20%5Crightarrow%20%5Cinfty%20%5Cquad%20%5Ctextrm%7Bif%7D%20%5Cquad%20C%27%28%5Csigma%29%20%5Crightarrow%20%5Cinfty%20&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\displaystyle  \frac{\mu_{I,\sigma}}{\sigma} \rightarrow \infty \quad \textrm{if} \quad C&#039;(\sigma) \rightarrow \infty ' title='\displaystyle  \frac{\mu_{I,\sigma}}{\sigma} \rightarrow \infty \quad \textrm{if} \quad C&#039;(\sigma) \rightarrow \infty ' class='latex' /></p>
<p> and
<p align=center><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cdisplaystyle%20%20%5Cfrac%7B%5Cmu_%7BI%2C%5Csigma%7D%7D%7B%5Csigma%7D%20%5Crightarrow%200%20%5Cquad%20%5Ctextrm%7Bif%7D%20%5Cquad%20C%27%28%5Csigma%29%20%5Crightarrow%200%20&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\displaystyle  \frac{\mu_{I,\sigma}}{\sigma} \rightarrow 0 \quad \textrm{if} \quad C&#039;(\sigma) \rightarrow 0 ' title='\displaystyle  \frac{\mu_{I,\sigma}}{\sigma} \rightarrow 0 \quad \textrm{if} \quad C&#039;(\sigma) \rightarrow 0 ' class='latex' /></p>
<p>
However, the second of the two results is not informative. If we additionally assume that <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7BC%28%5Csigma%29%20%3D%20%5Csigma%5E%5Calpha%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{C(\sigma) = \sigma^\alpha}' title='{C(\sigma) = \sigma^\alpha}' class='latex' /> for <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Calpha%20%3E%200%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\alpha &gt; 0}' title='{\alpha &gt; 0}' class='latex' /> we get
<p align=center><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cdisplaystyle%20%20%5Cfrac%7B%5Cmu_%7BI%2C%5Csigma%7D%7D%7B%5Csigma%7D%20%5Crightarrow%20%5Cinfty%20%5Cquad%20%5Ctextrm%7Bif%7D%20%5Cquad%20%5Calpha%20%5Cin%20%280%2C1%29%20&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\displaystyle  \frac{\mu_{I,\sigma}}{\sigma} \rightarrow \infty \quad \textrm{if} \quad \alpha \in (0,1) ' title='\displaystyle  \frac{\mu_{I,\sigma}}{\sigma} \rightarrow \infty \quad \textrm{if} \quad \alpha \in (0,1) ' class='latex' /></p>
<p> and
<p align=center><img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%5Cdisplaystyle%20%20%5Cfrac%7B%5Cmu_%7BI%2C%5Csigma%7D%7D%7B%5Csigma%7D%20%5Crightarrow%200%20%5Cquad%20%5Ctextrm%7Bif%7D%20%5Cquad%20%5Calpha%20%3E%201.%20&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='\displaystyle  \frac{\mu_{I,\sigma}}{\sigma} \rightarrow 0 \quad \textrm{if} \quad \alpha &gt; 1. ' title='\displaystyle  \frac{\mu_{I,\sigma}}{\sigma} \rightarrow 0 \quad \textrm{if} \quad \alpha &gt; 1. ' class='latex' /></p>
<p>
We&#8217;re not sure what happens if <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Calpha%20%3D%201%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\alpha = 1}' title='{\alpha = 1}' class='latex' />. </p>
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		<title>Protected: Risk Estimation</title>
		<link>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=79</link>
		<comments>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=79#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Sep 2010 18:21:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Darren Warren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Weak-ly Updates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk Estimation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>

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		<title>Statistics as an Inverse Problem</title>
		<link>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=68</link>
		<comments>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=68#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 29 Aug 2010 23:37:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Darren Warren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Observations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Formalization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inverse Problem]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[As everyone in who has shared an office with me knows, I spend a lot of time thinking about inverse problems. In particular, statistical inverse problems. I think this is important because fundamentally statistics is an inverse problem. Observe the following very general statistical problem. Suppose is some separable Banach space. Suppose is a model <a href='http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=68'>[...]</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p> As everyone in who has shared an office with me knows, I spend a lot of time thinking about <a href="http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=33" title="Protected: Inverse Problem Formalization" >inverse problems</a>. In particular, statistical inverse problems.  I think this is important because fundamentally statistics is an inverse problem. Observe the following very general statistical problem. Suppose <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cmathcal%7BT%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\mathcal{T}}' title='{\mathcal{T}}' class='latex' /> is some separable Banach space. Suppose <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5CTheta%20%5Csubseteq%20%5Cmathcal%7BT%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\Theta \subseteq \mathcal{T}}' title='{\Theta \subseteq \mathcal{T}}' class='latex' /> is a model space. Let <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%28%5Cphi_j%29%20%5Csubset%20%5Cmathcal%7BT%7D%5E%2A%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{(\phi_j) \subset \mathcal{T}^*}' title='{(\phi_j) \subset \mathcal{T}^*}' class='latex' /> be a sequence of elements in the dual space of continuous linear functionals on <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cmathcal%7BT%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\mathcal{T}}' title='{\mathcal{T}}' class='latex' />. Lastly, suppose <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7Bn%20%5Cin%20%5Cmathbb%7BN%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{n \in \mathbb{N}}' title='{n \in \mathbb{N}}' class='latex' />, <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Csigma%20%3E0%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\sigma &gt;0}' title='{\sigma &gt;0}' class='latex' /> is a positive number, and <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7BW%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{W}' title='{W}' class='latex' /> is a random variable defined on <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cmathbb%7BR%7D%5En%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\mathbb{R}^n}' title='{\mathbb{R}^n}' class='latex' />. Then we can define the statisical problem as a mapping <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%28%5Ctheta%2C%5Csigma%2Cn%29%20%5Cmapsto%20%5Cmathbb%7BP%7D_%7B%5Ctheta%2C%5Csigma%2C%5Cphi%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{(\theta,\sigma,n) \mapsto \mathbb{P}_{\theta,\sigma,\phi}}' title='{(\theta,\sigma,n) \mapsto \mathbb{P}_{\theta,\sigma,\phi}}' class='latex' /> where the observations are <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cphi_j%28%5Ctheta%29%20%2B%20%5Csigma%20W_j%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\phi_j(\theta) + \sigma W_j}' title='{\phi_j(\theta) + \sigma W_j}' class='latex' /> for each <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B1%20%5Cleq%20j%20%5Cleq%20n%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{1 \leq j \leq n}' title='{1 \leq j \leq n}' class='latex' /> or equivalently <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cphi%28%5Ctheta%29%20%2B%20%5Csigma%20W%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\phi(\theta) + \sigma W}' title='{\phi(\theta) + \sigma W}' class='latex' />. Hence, our goal is to make some inference about <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5CTheta%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\Theta}' title='{\Theta}' class='latex' /> given an observation <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7BY%20%5Csim%20%5Cmathbb%7BP%7D_%7B%5Ctheta%2C%5Csigma%2C%5Cphi%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{Y \sim \mathbb{P}_{\theta,\sigma,\phi}}' title='{Y \sim \mathbb{P}_{\theta,\sigma,\phi}}' class='latex' />.</p>
<p>
Generally speaking, there is usually another layer of formalization that encapsulates what we mean by `some inference.&#8217; In particular, suppose we have a space <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cmathcal%7BB%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\mathcal{B}}' title='{\mathcal{B}}' class='latex' /> and define a set of mappings <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cmathcal%7BG%7D%20%3D%20%5C%7Bg%20%3A%20%5Cmathcal%7B%5CTheta%7D%20%5Crightarrow%20%5Cmathcal%7BB%7D%20%5C%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\mathcal{G} = \{g : \mathcal{\Theta} \rightarrow \mathcal{B} \}}' title='{\mathcal{G} = \{g : \mathcal{\Theta} \rightarrow \mathcal{B} \}}' class='latex' />. Then, we consider the elements of <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5CTheta%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\Theta}' title='{\Theta}' class='latex' /> as models and either the space <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cmathcal%7BG%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\mathcal{G}}' title='{\mathcal{G}}' class='latex' /> <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cmathcal%7BB%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\mathcal{B}}' title='{\mathcal{B}}' class='latex' /> as the parameter space.</p>
<p>
Now, the goal is to make a model <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Ctheta%20%5Cin%20%5CTheta%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\theta \in \Theta}' title='{\theta \in \Theta}' class='latex' />, a set of functionals <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%28%5Cphi_j%29%20%5Csubset%20%5Cmathcal%7BT%7D%5E%2A%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{(\phi_j) \subset \mathcal{T}^*}' title='{(\phi_j) \subset \mathcal{T}^*}' class='latex' />, a parameter of interest <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7Bg%20%5Cin%20%5Cmathcal%7BG%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{g \in \mathcal{G}}' title='{g \in \mathcal{G}}' class='latex' /> and an observation <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7BY%20%5Csim%20%5Cmathbb%7BP%7D_%7B%5Ctheta%2C%5Csigma%2C%5Cphi%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{Y \sim \mathbb{P}_{\theta,\sigma,\phi}}' title='{Y \sim \mathbb{P}_{\theta,\sigma,\phi}}' class='latex' /> and develop some estimator <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Chat%7Bg%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\hat{g}}' title='{\hat{g}}' class='latex' /> that is a <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cmathbb%7BP%7D_%7B%5Ctheta%2C%5Csigma%2C%5Cphi%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\mathbb{P}_{\theta,\sigma,\phi}}' title='{\mathbb{P}_{\theta,\sigma,\phi}}' class='latex' />- measureable function from <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cmathbb%7BR%7D%5En%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\mathbb{R}^n}' title='{\mathbb{R}^n}' class='latex' /> to <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/latex.php?latex=%7B%5Cmathcal%7BB%7D%7D&#038;bg=ffffff&#038;fg=000000&#038;s=0' alt='{\mathcal{B}}' title='{\mathcal{B}}' class='latex' />. </p>
<p>
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		<title>Protected: Inverse Problem Formalization (Working)</title>
		<link>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=33</link>
		<comments>http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~dhomrigh/?p=33#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Aug 2010 17:17:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Darren Warren</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Weak-ly Updates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Formalization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inverse Problem]]></category>

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