## 10-702 Statistical Machine Learning

Instructor:Larry Wasserman

Time:MW 1:30-2:50

Place:Wean Hall 4623

TA:Jingrui He

Office hours:Thursdays 10-12

Place:Wean Hall 8102

TA:Robin Sabhnani

Office hours:Thursdays 6:30-8:30pm

Place:Newell Simon Hall 3122

Course secretary:Sharon Cavlovich

Office:Wean Hall 5315

## Introduction to Statistical Learning Theory (Bousquet, Boucheron and Lugosi) Here

Midterm: Monday during class time in the usual classroom

## Practice Test Here

## Course description

Statistical Machine Learning is a second graduate level course in machine learning, assuming students have taken Machine Learning (10-701) and Intermediate Statistics (36-705). The term ``statistical'' in the title reflects the emphasis on statistical analysis and methodology, which is the predominant approach in modern machine learning.The course combines methodology with theoretical foundations. It is intended for students who want to practice the ``art'' of designing good learning algorithms, and also understand the ``science'' of analyzing an algorithm's statistical properties and performance guarantees. Theorems are presented together with practical aspects of methodology and intuition to help students develop tools for selecting appropriate methods and approaches to problems in their own research. The course includes topics in statistical theory that are now becoming important for researchers in machine learning, including consistency, minimax estimation, and concentration of measure.

## Prerequisites

Machine Learning 10-701 and Intermediate Statistics 36-705, or Probability and Statistics 36-725 and 36-726.The

syllabusincludes information about assignments, exams and grading.Zoubin's Lectures

Lecture 1Lecture 2Lecture 3Lecture 4Lecture 5

## Lecture Notes

There is no required text for the course. Lecture notes will be regularly distributed (but not posted on the web). These are draft chapters and sections from a book in progress.

Comments, corrections, and other input on the drafts are highly encouraged.

Secondary References:

Chris Bishop,Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning,Springer, 2006.

Trevor Hastie, Robert Tibshirani, Jerome Friedman,The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction,Springer-Verlag, 2001.

## Assignments

Assignments are due on Fridays at 3:00 p.m. Hand in the assignment at course secretary's office in Wean Hall 4609.

Assignment 1:due: Friday, Jan 25, 3:00 p.m.Assignment 2:due: Friday, Feb 8, 3:00 p.m.Assignment 3:due: Friday, Feb 22, 3:00 p.m.Data sets:training data

andtest data

In R type: load("training.data"); load("test.data")

Assignment 4:due: Friday, March 21 3:00 p.m.

Assignment 5:due: Friday, April 11 3:00 p.m.

Assignment 6:due: Friday, May 9 3:00 p.m.

## Code

## The R language and code

- Download R
- R tutorial (Postscript)
- R tutorial (pdf)
- intoduction to R
- a free R manual
- R for Beginners by Emmanuel Paradis (Postscript)
- R for Beginners by Emmanuel Paradis (pdf)
- handy R reference card (Postscript)
- handy R reference card (pdf)
- How to manipulate matrices in R
- Nonparametric local regression using locfit

- PCA example

## Data

## Papers

## Topics

Topics will be chosen from the following basic outline, as announced in class.

Statistical Theory:Maximum likelihood, Bayes, minimax, Parametric versus Nonparametric Methods, Bayesian versus Non-Bayesian Approaches, classification, regression, density estimation.Convexity and optimization:Convexity, conjugate functions, unconstrained and constrained optimization, KKT conditions.Parametric Methods:Linear Regression, Model Selection, Generalized Linear Models, Mixture Models, Classification (linear, logistic, support vector machines), Graphical Models, Structured Prediction, Hidden Markov ModelsSparsity:High Dimensional Data and Sparsity, Basis Pursuit and the Lasso Revisited, Sparsistency, Consistency, Persistency, Greedy Algorithms for Sparse Linear Regression, Sparsity in Nonparametric Regression. Sparsity in Graphical Models, Compressed SensingNonparametric Methods:Nonparametric Regression and Density Estimation, Nonparametric Classification, Boosting, Clustering and Dimension Reduction, PCA, Manifold Methods, Principal Curves, Spectral Methods, The Bootstrap and Subsampling, Nonparametric Bayes.Advanced Theory:Concentration of Measure, Covering numbers, Learning theory, Risk Minimization, Tsybakov noise, minimax rates for classification and regression, surrogate loss functions, boosting, sparsistency, Minimax theory.Kernel methods:Mercel kernels, reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, relationship to nonparametric statistics, kernel classification, kernel PCA, kernel tests of independence.Computation:The EM Algorithm, Simulation, Variational Methods, Regularization Path Algorithms, Graph AlgorithmsOther Learning Methods:Functional Data, Semi-Supervised Learning, Reinforcement Learning, Minimum Description Length, Online Learning, The PAC Model, Active Learning

Course Calendar

Week of: Mon Wed Friday January 14 Stat Theory Review Stat Theory Review 21 No Class (MLK day) Convexity/Optimization Homework 128 Linear Models Model Selection February 4 model selection linear classification Homework 2 11 Mixtures Graphical Models Project Proposal 18 Graphical Models Nonparametric Regression Homework 3 25 Nonparametric Classification Nonparametric Classification March 3 EXAM No Class 10 No Class No Class 17 Advanced Theory Advanced Theory Homework 4 24 Advanced Theory Dimension Reduction 31 Dimension Reduction The Bootstrap Progress report April 7 Kernel Methods Kernel Methods Homework 5 14 Nonparametric Bayes Nonparametric Bayes 21 Computation Computation 28 Computation Last Class Submit Project May 5 Homework 6