January 18, 2012 (b)

Things to do following my meeting:

(1) Observation Simulations lead us to some questions/ideas: We see that the parameters are high prior driven.  And in actually we see an interaction between sample size and block structure in that a larger sample size would make things more data driven, but networks with strong block structure appear to be more data driven.

  • This is something to think about.  What would we need to do to make the model fit more data driven?
  • Are the traceplots of the gammas really different (weak vs strong)?  Look at the trace plots of the log(gamma) to see.
  • It’s interesting that the point estimates don’t appear to be affected by the difference in prior.  But we don’t know that for sure unless we look at variability.  Do a heat map type plot (roygbiv color) of the point estimates and another one for variance.

(2)  What is going on with my Covariate MM stuff?

  • Evaluate the log likelihood at a sequence from 0 to 1 at the new value of B proposed.  And look at what it looks like.  It should look normal.
  • Fix B at the truth and see what’s going on with alpha.
  • Propose new values for logit(B) instead of B and do a normal random walk instead.  An alternative would be a uniform centered at B_0 (see notes).
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