AAAS, the science society, today announced startling new estimates on the number of people who "disappeared" or were killed in Peru during a 20-year battle between government forces and Maoist insurgents that ended in the late 1990s.
A final, peer-reviewed version of the AAAS analysis, released today, "doubles earlier, incomplete estimates of how many people were killed," said Patrick Ball, Deputy Director of the AAAS Science and Human Rights Program. Ball served as co-author of the AAAS report, "How Many Peruvians Died?--An Estimate of the Total Number of Victims of the Internal Armed Conflict, 1980-2000," along with Jana Asher, a statistical consultant for AAAS, and David Sulmont, with Peru's Truth and Reconciliation Commission."
Some 69,280 people (in a confidence interval from 61,007 to 77,552) were murdered or disappeared during the turmoil in Peru, the AAAS report concludes.
The new estimates will be examined during discussions with Peruvian scientists, journalists and the report co-authors. "This exchange is important for the credibility of the report," Ball noted.
To come up with the death toll, the authors used statistical projections from...
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